Average 30-year mortgage rate hits 6.91%, Freddie Mac says, the highest since July

ABC News - Jan 2nd, 2025
Open on ABC News

U.S. mortgage rates have reached their highest levels since July, with the benchmark 30-year fixed-rate mortgage ascending to 6.91% from last week's 6.85%, as reported by Freddie Mac. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also rose to 6.13% from 6%, marking its highest point since July. This increase reflects a rise in bond yields, used by lenders to determine mortgage pricing, and signifies the persistent pressure of inflation influencing financial markets. The Federal Reserve's decision to limit its interest rate hikes this year to two, down from the projected four cuts, highlights its cautious approach amid inflation rates that remain above the target of 2%, despite reductions from mid-2022 peaks.

The current economic landscape is further complicated by concerns over President-elect Donald Trump's proposed economic policies, particularly his plan to significantly increase tariffs on imports, which could further accelerate inflation. This combination of rising mortgage rates and inflationary pressures poses challenges for prospective homebuyers and homeowners considering refinancing, while signaling broader economic implications. The ongoing adjustments in monetary policy and potential shifts in trade policy under the new administration underscore the delicate balance between controlling inflation and supporting economic growth.

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RATING

6.8
Fair Story
Consider it well-founded

The article provides a concise update on the current mortgage rates and the underlying economic factors influencing these rates, such as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and concerns about inflation. The piece is factually accurate in terms of the figures presented and provides a straightforward explanation of the relationship between bond yields and mortgage rates. However, it lacks depth in terms of balance, as it does not present multiple perspectives on President-elect Donald Trump's economic policies. The article's source quality is somewhat limited, relying primarily on Freddie Mac data without a broader array of expert or industry insights. In terms of transparency, the article does not fully disclose the basis for some claims, especially those involving economic projections. Clarity is generally good, with a logical flow and professional tone, though there are a few complex economic concepts that could be simplified for a general audience. Overall, while the article is informative, it could benefit from more thorough sourcing and a more balanced representation of differing economic viewpoints.

RATING DETAILS

8
Accuracy

The article scores well on accuracy, as the numerical data regarding current and past mortgage rates appear to be correct and are sourced from Freddie Mac, a reputable institution in the mortgage industry. The article accurately reports the increase in the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to 6.91%, up from 6.85% the previous week, and compares it to the rate of 6.62% a year ago. Similarly, the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rate is correctly reported at 6.13%, up from 6% the previous week, and 5.89% a year ago. These figures are precise and verifiable. However, the article could improve its accuracy by providing more detailed explanations or additional sources for claims about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and its impact on inflation. The statement regarding President-elect Trump's economic policies lacks direct sourcing, which slightly weakens the article's overall factual accuracy.

6
Balance

The article provides a basic overview of the economic factors influencing mortgage rates but lacks balance in terms of presenting a variety of perspectives. While it mentions the Federal Reserve's policy and inflation concerns, it does not explore alternative economic viewpoints or potential counterarguments. For instance, the article briefly touches on President-elect Trump's economic policies and their potential to fuel inflation but does not provide insights from economists who might disagree with this assessment or explore the broader economic implications in detail. This omission creates a sense of imbalance, as it leans towards a single narrative without delving into other possible interpretations of the economic data. Including additional perspectives or expert opinions would enhance the article's balance and provide a more comprehensive view of the economic landscape.

8
Clarity

The article is generally clear and well-structured, with a logical flow that guides the reader through the key points about mortgage rates and their economic context. The language is professional and straightforward, making it accessible to readers with a basic understanding of economic principles. However, some of the economic concepts, such as the relationship between bond yields and mortgage rates, could be further simplified or explained in more detail to ensure clarity for a broader audience. The article maintains a neutral tone, avoiding emotive language that could detract from its objectivity. While the overall clarity is strong, a few complex segments could be more thoroughly unpacked to enhance reader comprehension. By offering additional explanations or examples, the article could improve its clarity and make complex economic topics more understandable.

7
Source quality

The article primarily relies on data from Freddie Mac, which is a credible and authoritative source in the mortgage industry. This lends reliability to the mortgage rate figures presented. However, the article does not cite a diverse range of sources, which limits the strength of its overall analysis. The discussion of the Federal Reserve's policy and inflation concerns could be bolstered by referencing economic experts or additional financial institutions to provide a deeper understanding of these complex issues. Furthermore, the article would benefit from attributing the opinions or concerns regarding President-elect Trump's policies to specific economists or think tanks, which would enhance the credibility of these claims. By expanding the variety of sources and including more detailed attributions, the article could significantly improve its source quality.

5
Transparency

The article lacks some transparency, particularly in explaining the basis for its claims about economic policies and their potential impact. While it provides quantitative data on mortgage rates, it does not sufficiently disclose the sources or methodologies behind the broader economic assertions, such as the potential effects of President-elect Trump's tariff plans on inflation. The article could improve its transparency by offering more detailed explanations of the Federal Reserve's decision-making process and the specific economic indicators that are influencing these decisions. Additionally, disclosing any affiliations or potential conflicts of interest of the quoted experts or institutions would enhance transparency. Overall, the article would benefit from providing more context and clarification around its economic analyses to ensure readers fully understand the basis for the claims made.