Duh! Study shows ‘defund the police’ resulted in more killings

New York Post - May 6th, 2025
Open on New York Post

Murders in America's largest cities surged by 44% from 2019 to 2021 but have since experienced a dramatic decline of 39% by 2024. This reversal is attributed to a resurgence in proactive policing. Following the 2020 unrest, police activity plummeted, leading to increased crime rates. However, as police forces resumed making stops and arrests, murder rates fell significantly. This trend is evident in cities like New York City, Chicago, and New Orleans, while places slow to re-police, such as Austin and Portland, still face challenges.

The story underscores the impact of policing on crime rates, highlighting a shift in public opinion and policy away from the 'Defund the Police' movement. Many cities have reversed policies that had reduced police presence, resulting in fewer homicides. The case of Seattle, where police activity remains low and murder rates high, serves as a counterexample supporting the 're-policing effect.' The narrative reflects broader implications for law enforcement strategies and public safety policies across the United States.

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RATING

6.6
Fair Story
Consider it well-founded

The article effectively addresses a timely and controversial topic, presenting a clear argument about the relationship between policing and crime rates. It draws on credible sources for its general data, although some specific claims lack detailed attribution and verification. The narrative is well-structured and accessible, engaging with ongoing debates about public safety and law enforcement policies.

While the article provides a coherent perspective supported by data, it could benefit from a more balanced presentation that includes alternative viewpoints and acknowledges the complexity of crime and policing dynamics. Greater transparency about the sources and methodologies used would enhance its credibility and allow readers to better assess the claims made.

Overall, the article is a strong contribution to discussions about policing and crime, with the potential to influence public opinion and policy. Its clarity, engagement potential, and relevance to current debates make it a valuable piece, though improvements in balance and transparency could further strengthen its impact.

RATING DETAILS

7
Accuracy

The story presents several factual claims about crime trends and policing in major U.S. cities, many of which align with broader data trends reported by credible sources such as the Major Cities Chiefs Association (MCCA) and the FBI. For instance, the claim of a significant increase in murders from 2019 to 2021 is supported by data showing a nationwide rise in homicides during this period. However, the specific percentage increase of 44% is slightly higher than the national average increase reported, which was around 28% from 2019 to 2020.

The story's assertion that murders fell dramatically from a peak in 2021 to 2024 is consistent with documented declines in major cities, though the exact figures may vary. The claim that police stops and arrests dropped 40% after May 2020 and rose 37% from their lows is not directly verifiable in the MCCA reports, though the general trend of fluctuating police activity is supported by multiple sources.

The narrative linking the "Defund the Police" movement to a spike in crime and subsequent declines to increased policing is supported by some data and academic studies, though the causation is complex and debated. Overall, while the story accurately captures broad trends, some specific figures and causal claims require further verification.

6
Balance

The article predominantly emphasizes the perspective that increased policing directly correlates with reduced crime rates, particularly homicides. It attributes the rise in crime to the "Defund the Police" movement and the subsequent reduction in police activity, while crediting the decline in crime to a return to proactive policing. This perspective is supported by data and studies but does not fully explore other potential contributing factors such as socioeconomic conditions, community programs, or broader societal changes.

The narrative largely overlooks perspectives that might argue against the simplicity of the policing-crime relationship, such as those that emphasize the role of community engagement, economic support, and social services in crime reduction. By focusing primarily on policing, the article may give an impression of bias towards law enforcement solutions without adequately representing alternative viewpoints or critiques of policing strategies.

Overall, while the article provides a coherent argument supported by data, it could benefit from a more balanced presentation that includes a wider range of perspectives and acknowledges the complexity of crime and policing dynamics.

7
Clarity

The article is generally well-written and structured, presenting its main argument clearly and logically. It uses straightforward language and provides specific examples from various cities to illustrate its points, which aids in reader comprehension. The narrative is cohesive, making it easy to follow the progression of the argument from the rise in crime to the subsequent decline attributed to increased policing.

However, the article occasionally uses jargon or terms like "re-policing effect" without fully explaining them, which might confuse readers unfamiliar with these concepts. Additionally, while the article is clear in its argument, the lack of detailed sources and methodology can leave readers with unanswered questions about the data's origins and reliability.

Overall, the article's clarity is strong in terms of language and structure, but it could be improved by providing more detailed explanations and context for its claims and terminology.

8
Source quality

The article cites data from the Major Cities Chiefs Association (MCCA), a credible source for crime statistics in major U.S. cities. This lends authority to the claims about trends in homicides and police activity. Additionally, the article references the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for national homicide data, further supporting its credibility.

However, the article does not provide detailed citations for the specific study it mentions, which examined 15 major cities. Without access to this study or detailed methodology, it is challenging to fully assess the reliability of some specific claims, such as the exact percentage changes in police stops and arrests.

Overall, while the article draws on reputable sources for its general data, the lack of detailed attribution for the specific study reduces its source quality slightly. More transparency about the sources and methodologies used in the study would enhance the article's credibility.

5
Transparency

The article provides a clear narrative about the relationship between policing and crime rates, but it lacks transparency in several areas. While it cites the Major Cities Chiefs Association and the CDC for its broader data, it does not provide specific references or links to the study of 15 major cities it mentions. This lack of detailed attribution makes it difficult for readers to verify some of the specific claims independently.

Additionally, the article does not discuss the methodology of the study or the criteria used to select the cities included. Understanding the methodology is crucial for assessing the reliability and applicability of the findings to other contexts.

The article also does not address potential conflicts of interest or biases, such as the authors' affiliations with the Law Enforcement Legal Defense Fund, which could influence their perspective on policing. Greater transparency about these factors would provide readers with a more comprehensive understanding of the article's basis and potential biases.

Sources

  1. https://majorcitieschiefs.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/MCCA-Violent-Crime-Report-2024-and-2023-Midyear.pdf
  2. https://www.factcheck.org/2024/10/crime-stats-still-show-a-decline-since-2020/
  3. https://majorcitieschiefs.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/mcca_violent_crime_report_2019_and_2018_year_end_update.pdf
  4. https://www.norc.org/research/library/live-crime-tracker-shows-major-national-crime-declines-first-half-2024.html
  5. https://majorcitieschiefs.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/MCCA-Violent-Crime-Report-2024-and-2023-January-to-September.pdf